Spanish Politics & Corruption: Much the same thing, of course. Just found this in my notes, of a week or two ago but still relevant. From El País, I think: As if Spain’s
interim Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy didn’t have enough on his
plate trying to rally votes for an investiture vote in Congress next
week he looks set to lose – which may mean a second bid in October
– the upcoming trials of several senior figures in his PP party will further weaken his position in talks with other
parties to form a coalition . . . El Diario reports
that there were many and massive bribes during the time that Rita
Barberá was mayoress of Valencia. Sra. Barberá, I should add, has blithely smiled throughout all the investigations and denied everything. Of course.
More Lists from The Local:
Ten Spanish Cities for Great Free Tapas: A list from El País this time. In English, with the usual suspects. Here's the Galician entry, for Vigo: This Galician port city
is known for the abundance and quality of its tapas[Is it?], and a couple of
beers or locally produced albariño wines will usually yield enough
nibbles that you won’t need to eat afterwards. Try A Mina, a newish
place that relies on favorites such as mussels. The Bouzas area is
filled with old bars, along with newer establishments such as
Patouro, which uses seasonal products such as mushrooms in autumn.
Imperial, on Colombia street, has imported beers and generous tapas.
Most bars charge around €1.70 for a beer or a glass of wine.
Headlines You Don't Often See: North Korea executes two officials with anti-aircraft guns.
The Arctic's Melting Ice: At the end of this post is the sort of article which confuses those of us trying to be objective about the evidence. Yes, the ice is melting and, yes, it probably is due to AGW. But it might not be a problem of any real significance.
Pontevedra Fiestas: There was a gap last weekend between the end of our Semana Grande and the Feira Franca(Medieval Fair) of next weekend. Naturally, this state of affairs couldn't be ignored. So, now we have another fiesta - Pontevedra Coqueta. This is a tiny, 1920s-themed, one-square thing which might or might not catch on. The now-vast Feira Franca occupied just one small street only 16 years ago but was already pretty large when I wrote this in 2006.
The Arctic's Melting Ice: At the end of this post is the sort of article which confuses those of us trying to be objective about the evidence. Yes, the ice is melting and, yes, it probably is due to AGW. But it might not be a problem of any real significance.
Pontevedra Fiestas: There was a gap last weekend between the end of our Semana Grande and the Feira Franca(Medieval Fair) of next weekend. Naturally, this state of affairs couldn't be ignored. So, now we have another fiesta - Pontevedra Coqueta. This is a tiny, 1920s-themed, one-square thing which might or might not catch on. The now-vast Feira Franca occupied just one small street only 16 years ago but was already pretty large when I wrote this in 2006.
THE GALLERY
My granddaughter, Gracie, who finally came to me this morning after refusing to do so for 4 days, while going to every bloody female in the city . . . .
Note the expensive new car seat, bought by her doting grandfather. As per instructions.
THAT MELTING ICE
Ice scares aren’t all they’re cracked up to be
The sea ice in the
Arctic Ocean is approaching its annual nadir. By early September each
year about two thirds of the ice cap has melted, then the sea begins
to freeze again. This year looks unlikely to set a record for
melting, with more than four million square kilometres of ice
remaining, less than the average in the 1980s and 1990s, but more
than in the record low years of 2007 and 2012. (The amount of sea ice
around Antarctica has been increasing in recent years, contrary to
predictions.)
This will disappoint
some. An expedition led by David Hempleman-Adams to circumnavigate
the North Pole through the Northeast and Northwest passages,
intending to demonstrate “that the Arctic sea ice coverage shrinks
back so far now in the summer months that sea that was permanently
locked up now can allow passage through”, was recently held up for
weeks north of Siberia by, um, ice. They have only just reached
halfway.
Meanwhile, the habit of
some scientists of predicting when the ice will disappear completely
keeps getting them into trouble. A Nasa climate scientist, Jay
Zwally, told the Associated Press in 2007: “At this rate, the
Arctic Ocean could be nearly ice-free at the end of summer by 2012.”
Two years later Al Gore quoted another scientist that “there is a
75 per cent chance that the entire north polar ice cap, during the
summer months, could be completely ice-free within five to seven
years” — that is, by now.
This year Professor
Peter Wadhams of Cambridge University has a new book out called
Farewell to Ice, which gives a “greater than even chance” that
the Arctic Ocean will be ice-free next month. Not likely. He added: “Next year
or the year after that, I think it will be free of ice in summer . .
. You will be able to cross over the North Pole by ship.” The
temptation to predict a total melt of the Arctic ice cap, and thereby
get a headline, has been counterproductive, according to other
scientists. Crying wolf does not help the cause of global warming; it
only gives amusement to sceptics.
Would it matter if it
did all melt one year? Here’s the point everybody seems to be
missing: the Arctic Ocean’s ice has indeed disappeared during
summer in the past, routinely. The evidence comes from various
sources, such as beach ridges in northern Greenland, never unfrozen
today, which show evidence of wave action in the past. One Danish
team concluded in 2012 that 8,500 years ago the ice extent was “less
than half of the record low 2007 level”. A Swedish team, in a paper
published in 2014, went further: between 10,000 years ago and 6,000
years ago, the Arctic experienced a “regime dominated by seasonal
ice, ie, ice-free summers”.
This was a period known
as the “early Holocene insolation maximum” (EHIM). Because the
Earth’s axis was tilted away from the vertical more than today
(known as obliquity), and because we were then closer to the Sun in
July than in January (known as precession), the amount of the Sun’s
energy hitting the far north in summer was much greater than today.
This “great summer” effect was the chief reason the Earth had
emerged from an ice age, because hot northern summers had melted the
great ice caps of North America and Eurasia, exposing darker land and
sea to absorb more sunlight and warm the whole planet.
The effect was huge:
about an extra 50 watts per square metre 80 degrees north in June. By
contrast, the total effect of man-made global warming will reach 3.5
watts per square metre (but globally) only by the end of this
century.
To put it in context,
the EHIM was the period during which agriculture was invented in
about seven different parts of the globe at once. Copper smelting
began; cattle and sheep were domesticated; wine and cheese were
developed; the first towns appeared. The seas being warmer, the
climate was generally wet so the Sahara had rivers and forests,
hippos and people.
That the Arctic sea ice
disappeared each August or September in those days does not seem to
have done harm (remember that melting sea ice, as opposed to land
ice, does not affect sea level), and nor did it lead to a tipping
point towards ever-more rapid warming. Indeed, the reverse was the
case: evidence from stalagmites in tropical caves, sea-floor
sediments and ice cores on the Greenland ice cap shows that
temperatures gradually but erratically cooled over the next few
thousand years as the obliquity of the axis and the precession of the
equinoxes changed. Sunlight is now weaker in July than January again
(on global average).
Barring one especially
cold snap 8,200 years ago, the coldest spell of the past ten
millennia was the very recent “little ice age” of AD1300-1850,
when glaciers advanced, tree lines descended and the Greenland Norse
died out.
It seems that the
quantity of Arctic sea ice varies more than we used to think. We
don’t really know how much ice there was in the 1920s and 1930s —
satellites only started measuring it in 1979, a relatively cold time
in the Arctic — but there is anecdotal evidence of considerable ice
retreat in those decades, when temperatures were high in the Arctic.
Today’s melting may
be man-made, but the EHIM precedent is still relevant. Polar bears
clearly survived the ice-free seasons of 10,000-6,000 years ago, as
they cope with ice-free summers or autumns in many parts of their
range today, such as Hudson Bay. They need sea ice in spring when
they feed on seal pups and they sometimes suffer if it is too thick,
preventing seals from breeding in an area.
Meanwhile, theory
predicts, and data confirms, that today’s carbon-dioxide-induced
man-made warming is happening more at night than during the day, more
during winter than summer and more in the far north than near the
equator. An Arctic winter night is affected much more than a tropical
summer day. If it were the other way around, it would be more
harmful.
Some time in the next
few decades, we may well see the Arctic Ocean without ice in August
or September for at least a few weeks, just as it was in the time of
our ancestors. The effect on human welfare, and on animal and plant
life, will be small. For all the attention it gets, the reduction in
Arctic ice is the most visible, but least harmful, effect of global
warming.
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