Tuesday, December 01, 2015

Sp. News; Global Warming?; The Middle East; The EU; The US Elections; & A Russian joke.

SPANISH NEWS: As the general election approaches, this gets less and less interesting, as attention increasingly concentrates on promises that everyone with half a brain knows will never be believed. In his book, Fango, Baltasar Garzón cites the first socialist president, Felipe González, telling him that election commitments here are never intended to be implemented. I could find the exact quote if the 604 page book had an index. But, in accordance with what I'm told are Spanish norms, it doesn't.

GLOBAL WARMING: Is it really "One of the greatest scientific scandals of all time"? See this article at the end of this post. By the notorious heretic, Christopher Booker.

THE MIDDLE EAST: Rather than taking out terrorist leaders, wouldn't it be easier and better to take out all the world's arms dealers? And all those who step into their shoes? Why don't we have a global referendum on this, to give the assassination squads legal backing at the UN? An organisation which might just be able to organise (albeit hyper-expensively) a piss-up in a brewery.

THE EU: Timothy Garton Ash is a Guardian and El País cheerleader for the EU. Here he is, in the former, sounding rather more ambivalent than usual. It seems to me.

THE US ELECTIONS: A nice quote: There are at least 14 people who would make much, much worse presidents than George W Bush, and, alarmingly, all of them are currently running for president.

FINALLY . . . YESTERDAY'S JOKE FROM RT (RUSSIAN TV): "As demonstrated over the Turkey affair, Putin is a moderate force".

The fiddling with temperature data is the biggest science scandal ever

When future generations look back on the global-warming scare of the past 30 years, nothing will shock them more than the extent to which the official temperature records – on which the entire panic ultimately rested – were systematically “adjusted” to show the Earth as having warmed much more than the actual data justified.

Two weeks ago, under the headline “How we are being tricked by flawed data on global warming”, I wrote about Paul Homewood, who, on his Notalotofpeopleknowthat blog, had checked the published temperature graphs for three weather stations in Paraguay against the temperatures that had originally been recorded. In each instance, the actual trend of 60 years of data had been dramatically reversed, so that a cooling trend was changed to one that showed a marked warming.

This was only the latest of many examples of a practice long recognised by expert observers around the world – one that raises an ever larger question mark over the entire official surface-temperature record.

Following my last article, Homewood checked a swathe of other South American weather stations around the original three. In each case he found the same suspicious one-way “adjustments”. First these were made by the US government’s Global Historical Climate Network (GHCN). They were then amplified by two of the main official surface records, the Goddard Institute for Space Studies (Giss) and the National Climate Data Center (NCDC), which use the warming trends to estimate temperatures across the vast regions of the Earth where no measurements are taken. Yet these are the very records on which scientists and politicians rely for their belief in “global warming”.

Homewood has now turned his attention to the weather stations across much of the Arctic, between Canada (51 degrees W) and the heart of Siberia (87 degrees E). Again, in nearly every case, the same one-way adjustments have been made, to show warming up to 1 degree C or more higher than was indicated by the data that was actually recorded. This has surprised no one more than Traust Jonsson, who was long in charge of climate research for the Iceland met office (and with whom Homewood has been in touch). Jonsson was amazed to see how the new version completely “disappears” Iceland’s “sea ice years” around 1970, when a period of extreme cooling almost devastated his country’s economy.

One of the first examples of these “adjustments” was exposed in 2007 by the statistician Steve McIntyre, when he discovered a paper published in 1987 by James Hansen, the scientist (later turned fanatical climate activist) who for many years ran Giss. Hansen’s original graph showed temperatures in the Arctic as having been much higher around 1940 than at any time since. But as Homewood reveals in his blog post, “Temperature adjustments transform Arctic history”, Giss has turned this upside down. Arctic temperatures from that time have been lowered so much that that they are now dwarfed by those of the past 20 years.

Homewood’s interest in the Arctic is partly because the “vanishing” of its polar ice (and the polar bears) has become such a poster-child for those trying to persuade us that we are threatened by runaway warming. But he chose that particular stretch of the Arctic because it is where ice is affected by warmer water brought in by cyclical shifts in a major Atlantic current – this last peaked at just the time 75 years ago when Arctic ice retreated even further than it has done recently. The ice-melt is not caused by rising global temperatures at all.

Of much more serious significance, however, is the way this wholesale manipulation of the official temperature record – for reasons GHCN and Giss have never plausibly explained – has become the real elephant in the room of the greatest and most costly scare the world has known. 

This really does begin to look like one of the greatest scientific scandals of all time.

1 comment:

Q10 said...

Colin, You missed a link to TG Ash's article. Maybe it was his "Europe’s walls are going back up – it’s like 1989 in reverse"?

http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2015/nov/29/europe-2015-walls-1989-paris-refugee-crisis

Christopher Booker's rather old (April 2015) article Nice to see some more sceptical comment from you again. Many folk say that NOAA's data, often quoted by the BBC, has been "fiddled" - Now there's an emotive word for you. All came to a head in Feb 2015 and an International Project was set up to study and report. See:

http://www.tempdatareview.org/

If you had evidence of "fiddling" I hope you sent it to them. Unfortunately the deadline for submissions was June 30th 2015, but you did have four months, so don't blame me if you missed the deadline.

You will notice they have declined to say when they will publish their findings. This could be what Brits call "The Chilton Long Grass". Let's hope not.

Personally, I only pay heed to (now steady on, "paying heed" is different from believing) satellite temperature data, which shows no significant warming of the low troposphere in the last 9yrs. Climatologists say the heat is now being absorbed by the oceans instead, but are not certain of that, or anything else.

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