Dawn

Dawn

Saturday, March 06, 2021

Thoughts from Pontevedra, Galicia, Spain: 6.3.21

 Night’s candles are burnt out, and jocund day stands tiptoe on the misty mountain tops.

Spanish life is not always likeable but it is compellingly loveable.  

- Christopher Howse: 'A Pilgrim in Spain' 

Cosas de España 


When it comes to vaccinations. Spain remains 'different'. Whereas Germany and even France have reversed their stance on giving the AZ vaccine to those over 65, Spain retains its even lower limit of 55. This raises the question of what their scientists know that others don't. But, anyway, the practical effect of this is that next week, here in Galicia at least, the AZ jab will be given to those between 50 and 55, while the more at-risk group of folk aged 56 to 80 will have to wait at least another month, possibly 2 or even 3, for the Pfizer or Moderna product. Which, of course, will mean some avoidable deaths.


How many of Spain’s ex-capital cities do you know, or can guess at?


Very bad news:  Spain's youth unemployment has been high for a decade and the jobless rate for those under 25 is now 40%. Greece comes in second with 34%. Overall: The financial crisis of 2007-08 took an especially heavy toll on Spaniards. Macroeconomic indicators suggest that the covid-19 pandemic is hitting Spain, which is reliant on tourism, even harder.


Cousas de Galiza


This is a BBC Scotland video on Asturias and Galicia. I confess I first thought they were talking Welsh until I figured out it was Scottish Gaelic. But I think there's a bit of Irish Gaelic in it as well, from Muireann NicAmhlaoibh. Needless to say, it majors on Celtic connections.


Maria's Tsunami: Day 33


The UK 


From the end of May, Lufthansa’s budget airline - Eurowings - will be flying Brits to Majorca for the first time. Because - thanks to earlier vaccinations - there is “dreariness in Germany” but “holiday fever in the UK”.


The EU


British historian Robert Tombs explains below why he thinks that: The EU is suffering from a Napoleon complex that will backfire disastrously. Europe is using trade as a weapon, but the result is likely to be the same as the last time this was tried.


The USA


Reflecting on Jeremy Paxman’s comment that any fool can read an autocue, guess what fool I thought of. Not that he could actually do this, of course.


The Way of the World  


That dreadful feud between Meghan&Harry and the British royal family . . . This is an article I've forced myself to read and I cite it here because it's a decent piece and might interest you, dear reader. Love or loathe Meghan? It depends on your age. Ms Merkle’s sister has penned a book which is said to be 'unsisterly' but likely to leave Meghan as 'the ultimate beneficiary. Funny family.


Social Media


Facebook has shut down the accounts of fake Scottish independence supporters being run by Iran. Hundreds of fraudulent online personas, it says, were created there. But for what purpose??


English


A new word for me, seen this morning - a shock. Said to be informal and Australian, and to mean: A person engaged in suspect business activities. The adjective is, of course, shonky and means: dishonest, unreliable, or illegal, especially in a devious way.


Finally  . . . 


We have an asesor in Pontevedra called Blanca Fariña. I’ve known her for years but only twigged this week that her name means White flour. Which happens to be the Gallego street-name for cocaine. Or, as the RAG puts sit: Substancia orgánica que se extrae das follas da coca e que, polas súas propiedades, é usada como narcótico ou en anestesias. You might know if you’ve seen Fariña, or The Cocaine Coast.


THE ARTICLE   


The EU is suffering from a Napoleon complex that will backfire disastrously. Europe is using trade as a weapon, but the result is likely to be the same as the last time this was tried: Robert Tombs, The Telegraph


In those far-off days when the debate over Brexit was still raging, its proponents – including the present Prime Minister – were indignantly criticised for making sweeping comparisons with great struggles of the past: the Spanish Armada, the Napoleonic Wars, even 1940. What could be more absurd, said critics, and what more insulting to our European friends and neighbours than to imply that they had imperialistic ambitions?


All the more surprising, then, when a similar comparison comes from across the Channel. The former French ambassador to the UK, Sylvie Bermann, whose not very diplomatic book Goodbye Britannia has caused a stir, says that Brexit “has succeeded in bringing together a continental bloc of 27 countries. This was the famous blockade organised by Napoleon, and which England so feared.” So says one of France’s most distinguished diplomats.


The comparison of the EU with Napoleon’s Continental System is interesting not only for its threatening tone but for what it may say about the unspoken assumptions of the European elite. First, is the notion that, in a world of hostile blocs, the whole European economy is a weapon to be wielded against an awkward opponent. Clearly, too, a resurgence of the latent French belief that perfidious Albion is always trying to disrupt France’s obviously high-minded plans. Along with this comes the self‑pitying conclusion that Britain – or “England” – is to blame for subsequent difficulties, and that if only we were not so arrogant, we would go along with what the French are trying to do. As Napoleon put it: “All my wars came from England.”


The Continental System – that of Napoleon – was intended to destroy Britain economically after the failure to defeat it politically. “England will weep tears of blood”, as he put it. Europe was still its biggest market, and to hit at its exports would bring the “nation of shopkeepers” to heel.


What of Madame Bermann’s Continental System? Presumably the intention is similar, otherwise there would be no point in the comparison. Aggressive interpretation of the Trade and Co-operation Agreement to maximise non-tariff barriers, extreme applications of the Northern Ireland Protocol to put pressure on the British Government at its weakest spot, the fabrication of health concerns to disrupt existing trade, even the assumption of the power to block vaccine exports: this is all part of the game.


There is another parallel with Napoleon. When France and Britain signed the Treaty of Amiens in 1802, ending 10 years of war, the British regarded it as a first step. George III called it an “experimental peace”. They hoped for further confidence-building measures on the way to normalising relations with the great European empire. But French diplomats were set on exploiting the letter of the treaty to the full, demanding that Britain execute every jot and tittle while they prepared for further conflict.


Can this be the sort of relationship that proponents of today’s Continental System have in mind? If so, they should reflect on how the story ended.


Napoleon’s attempt to subordinate the economic interests of the whole of Europe to his political aim of defeating Britain led to massive evasion of the rules. British goods, even in the days of sailing ships and horses and carts, reached the Continent by semi-legal and illegal means, to the great profit of those involved. Some of Napoleon’s satellites refused to join in. People rebelled against the economic cost, even his own politicians. His great empire eventually fell apart.


And today? Will Europe, led by an unyielding France, allow its interests to be subordinated to an ideological vision? Or will businesses and their employees accept that Brexit has happened and that a mutually beneficial relationship is in their interests? German exports to the UK, one of its most important markets, have slumped. French senators have expressed worries for their own businesses. Napoleon’s use of the Continental System not only to damage Britain but also to profit France, including at the expense of its allies, was a further reason for their disaffection. The French government today is similarly intent on benefiting the Parisian financial sector by forcing business away from London, even if this – by general admission – will cost other European businesses dear.


It’s easy to see parallels. But there is also a big difference. Napoleon was a man of undeniable ability, drive and vision. The leaders of the EU today are daily proving their lack of these qualities. I would not have believed them capable of the ineptitude shown over the Covid crisis, the recklessness of their suspension of the Northern Ireland Protocol for transparently specious reasons, their amoral haste to draw closer to Russia and China, and even the refusal to allow export of the Oxford vaccine to Australia.


“It’s worse than a crime, it’s a blunder,” said the clever cynic Talleyrand of one of Napoleon’s decisions. What would he say of the EU today?

5 comments:

Anonymous said...

Tombs wrote a few months ago in the same paper: Britain has never been European and will never be. So we know where all this is coming from. I thought Ms Bermann summed up the whole Brexit experiment accurately. Tombs likes to wallow in the past. In Napoleonic times Britain was the world's number one super power. Does he really think Britain will prevail just like it did in the past? If big daddy across the pond gives a helping hand.....maybe. Hard to imagine a more anglophobe duo than Biden and Harris, though. Tombs writes about the EU's "amoral haste to draw closer to Russia and China". After all the dust of the Brexit shambles has settled, will the UK antagonise China, Russia or Saudi Arabia? It will lay out the red carpet for them. It is already doing so now. Where do people think all the wealth this country draws in comes from? London is the biggest financial launderette in the world. I don't care about Tombs and others like him. What worries me is how many people in the UK really believe this nonsense. Like the middle-aged lady the other day on BBC's Question Time: " I don't trust the EU". So it is the EU, not the paranoid, cheating, agressively hissing and utterly dishonest British government, who gets the blame. Extraordinary. I am not one bit surprised by this. But I am, equally, deeply depressed and dismayed by what, I fear, will come next.


Perry said...

Colin,

The Treaty of Amiens 1802 featured in my viewing last night: Hornblower S03 E01 Loyalty on YouTube. Horatio is onshore with half pay. His fortune turns as he is given command of HMS Hotspur.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hornblower_(TV_series)#The_film_series

Should you so desire, you could relive those times.
https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLIVT1tQCLXG-w-BlBLZCNqYciGahgB6_F

Colin Davies said...

"So we know where all this is coming from"

Well, if this is to say that he's being consistent with his history-based overview and that he's being consistent, is there something intrinsically wrong with that?

" I don't care about Tombs and others like him." Does this mean anything more than you disagree with him/them? If so, you are, of course, entitled to your view as he is.

Yes, you are right about dirty money in London and about post-Brexit UK needing to deal with China and Russia but this on its own doesn't say that Brexit was the wrong way to do.

Tombs lays out his views in 'This Sovereign Isle', which I'm about to read. Perhaps it's something you too should read, to see exactly how you''d reject his view of the future of the the UK. To say that he provides succour for many who believe in 'nonsense' is not, in my view, enough, You have to be specific in your disagreements/condemnations. Otherwise, you're saying no more than you disagree with him, without telling us how.




Anonymous said...

Whilst I do agree that everything you write in your reply is sensible, and I have little to add in return, I hope you can forgive me for not expanding on why I disagree with Tombs, as it would take too many words, and I might bore you stiff. But one thing I will say categorically, when Tombs declares that Britain has never been European and will never be, even if that was half tongue-in-cheek (which I do not think it was), well, that is total utter nonsense. Macron said it brilliantly (and no, I don't particularly like Macron): Britain cannot run away from geography and history. There is no unique destiny for Britain, divergent from that of the rest of Europe. Sorry if I do not expand. I am not in the business of writing blogs, essays or books. Too busy I am afraid.

Colin Davies said...

Thanks, for that.

I don't think he was being tongue in cheek but his comment re the match with Europe is open to number of interpretations and I doubt he meant it totally literally. I believe all he means is that the UK will prosper more outside the EU than it. Though one would be a super optimist to believe this is a near term likelihood. I guess there are 3 possible backcloths for this. 1. The EU continues as is; 2. The EU fails as a project and members return to being national states, albeit with a high degree of cooperation; or 3. The EU reforms itself, perhaps to return to being more of a common market than a quasi superstate born of 'ever closes union'.

Tombs must believe the UK will prosper more in any of these but I'll have more idea of what he believes and why he does so when I've got to his book. It's no, 3 in a queue at the moment . . .